2022 Federal Election Prediction

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  • Pearce (Perth’s northern suburbs) and Swan (suburbs south of Perth River) in Western Australia.
  • Boothby (Adelaide’s south) in South Australia.
  • Chisholm (eastern Melbourne) and Higgins (south-east Melbourne) in Victoria. Labor will also gain the newly created seat of Hawke (outer-west Melbourne) which it holds on a notional margin of 10%.
  • Bass (Launceston and northeast) in Tasmania.
  • Bennelong (Sydney’s northwest), Reid (Sydney’s inner-west), and Robertson (Central Coast) in New South Wales.
  • Brisbane (Brisbane CBD), Leichhardt (Cairns and Cape York), Longman (Brisbane’s northern suburbs), and Ryan (Brisbane’s western suburbs) in Queensland. Leichhardt is my gutsiest pick of all, given the popularity of incumbent Warren Entsch, but I suspect enthusiasm for climate action, the general cost of living, and Morrison’s unpopularity are enough to give Labor a narrow edge.
  • Goldstein (Melbourne’s eastern bayside) in Victoria
  • North Sydney (city of North Sydney) and Wentworth (Sydney’s inner-east) in New South Wales.
  • Western Australia — Three Labor (+1), two Liberal (-1), one Green
  • South Australia — Three Labor (+1), two Liberal, one Green
  • Northern Territory — One Labor, one Country Liberal
  • Tasmania — Two Labor, two Liberal (-1), one Green, one Lambie Network (+1)
  • Victoria — Three Labor (+1), two Liberal (-1), one Green
  • New South Wales — Two Labor (-1), three Liberal, one Green
  • Australian Capital Territory — One Labor, one Pocock (+1)
  • Queensland — Two Labor, two Liberal National (-1), one Green (+1), one Pauline Hanson’s One Nation
  • Labor — 28 (+2)
  • Coalition — 31 (-4)
  • Greens — 12 (+3)
  • One Nation — 2 (0)
  • Lambie Network — 2 (+1)
  • Independent — 1 (+1)

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Adelaide University student magazine since 1932. Edited by Grace Atta, Habibah Jaghoori, Jenny Jung & Chanel Trezise. Get in touch: onditmag@gmail.com

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Adelaide University student magazine since 1932. Edited by Grace Atta, Habibah Jaghoori, Jenny Jung & Chanel Trezise. Get in touch: onditmag@gmail.com

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